Thursday, November 25, 2010

Is it time for Pelicans and Kärpät? 25.11.2010

Jokerit - HPK
Kärpät - HIFK
Lukko - Blues
Pelicans - KalPa
TPS - SaiPa

TPS - Saipa
Today maybe clearest home win for me. Tps won over Saipa on Tuesday, only 3-2 and I think TPS will win today too. TPS who suffered
of a veryvery bad start of season has started to improve their game. Thomas Plihal is back and onyl a couple of long-time injured are still
out. Saipa has played bad lately and the injuries does not help. Saipa has some quality in attack with McTavish and Redenbach but I can't
see them win tonight away at TPS.

Pick: TPS 1.719@Pinnacle

Not much else to play for me. I'll try Pelicans and Kärpät with low stakes. Kärpät has a new coach and their material is not as bad
as it seems according to the table, they have potential to much more and maybe new coach Hannu Aravirta will get it to work. Pelicans
have had a lot of problems too but I see the possibility of a home win against Kalpa who is in a 5 games winnig streak. Kalpa plays well
at home but is not a superior team away.

Kärpät+0 2.11@Pinnalce
Pelicans+0 2.26@Pinnacle

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Games 6.10.2010

Bad day yesterday, both bets wrong when Kalpa was unlucky in scoring and Kärpät took a hard beating from Ässät.

Four lower division games today in Mestis.
KooKoo - HeKi
D Team - Hokki
TuTo - Sport
LeKi - Jukurit

Don't have time right now to analyse the games any deeper just placed me bets on LeKi and Sport both at 2.10 odds at a local bookie. Leki in an impressive run against a quite poor Heki should be easy and I can't understand the odds here. Hoping that Sport gets their playing away to roll against TuTo who has lost quite big at home against worse teams.

5/14 -2.03u

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Games 5.10.2010

First of all I've had a lot of things to do so I haven't updated the blog in a few days. Nothing special to play though these
days I missed. Tonight there's six games of SM-Liiga and tomorrow four games of Mestis.

KalPa  -  Ilves
Lukko  -  HIFK
Pelicans  -  TPS 
SaiPa  -  HPK 
Tappara  -  JYP
Ässät  -  Kärpät

Kalpa - Ilves, Kalpa -1,5 2,01 Pinnaclesports
-Ilves played a friendly game against Minnesota Wild yesterday
-Ilves in a quite bad run only 1 overtime win in last 4 games
-Kalpa not in a good run but I think they should clear this one with at least 2 goals

Ässät - Kärpät, Kärpät 2,60 Local bookie
-Ässät had a total breakdown last game when they lost 11-3 to HIFK
-Kärpät started season very bad but are starting to play better 3 wins in last 5 games
-Altough Ässät at home is thought I think the odds on Kärpät are too high

Oh and I bought a new phone some days ago, a Nokia E72.
Very nice, I really like the actual QWERT keyboard after having an iPhone 3G and only a touchscreen. Don't know if it was an update from the iPhone but I wanted something new and had heard a lot good things about the E72. The menus are a bit tricky and you really have to search for some settings for a while before you find them but the phone properties are great. Crystal clear voice in the calls and texting/e-mailing is easy and fast.

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Results 28.9.2010

HIFK  -  TPS 5-2
HPK  -  KalPa 2-2
Ilves  -  Lukko 2-4
JYP  -  Blues 3-0 
Kärpät  -  Jokerit 7-2

+1.1 units today when Lukko and Kärpät won. TPS did have a chance in 2nd period when they equalized to 1-1 but couldn't hold it for more than 26 seconds.

5/10 -0.03u ROI:-0,30%

Games 28.9.2010

HPK  -  KalPa
Ilves  -  Lukko
JYP  -  Blues
Kärpät  -  Jokerit

Five games today and I'll try a couple of bets today.

HIFK - TPS, TPS 5.00 Local Bookie
-TPS has improved their game last few games and HIFK again has played a couple of worse games
-TPS gets a couple guys back from injuries

Ilves- Lukko, Lukko 1.90 Local Bookie
-Ilves has performed well two last games but does miss 3-4 important players tonight
-Lukko has the material advantage and should win these games more often than 50% of the time

Kärpät - Jokerit, Kärpät 2.20 Local Bookie
-Kärpät has had a bad opening of the season as they usually have
-Jokerit has played Ok, not really amazing but average
-Kärpät good at home

Monday, September 27, 2010

Results 27.9.2010

Sport - Hokki 6-1
SaPKo - Suomi U20 7-1

Sport took a nice win. Hokii didn't really have a chance and Sport stayed away from the penaltybox. +0.8 units today. Will resume with sm-liiga games tomorrow.

3/7 -1,13u ROI: -16,14%

Games 27.9.2010

Just a couple of mestis games today.

Sport - Hokki
SaPKo - Suomi U20

Sport - Hokki, Sport 1,80 local bookie
-I'll take Sport here as they're really tough at home, an ugly 4-0 loss last game should fire the team up tonight
-Hokki has played average

Tomorrow again a full round of sm-liiga.

Made a nice and tasty hamburger last weekend! :D

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Bad day, results 25.9.2010

Ässät  -  Ilves 4-2
Blues  -  Kärpät 2-1OT (1-1)
KalPa  -  SaiPa 0-1
Lukko  -  Pelicans 5-3
Tappara  -  HIFK 4-3 Penalty-shootout (3-3)
TPS  -  Jokerit 2-3 Penalty-shootout (2-2)

Bad luck today as pelicans played unstable as I suspected, they lost a 0-2 lead and lost eventually. TPS play better than last two games but not good enough. -2 untis today.

2/6 -1,93u ROI: -32,17%

SM-Liiga 25.9.2010


Ässät  -  Ilves
Blues  -  Kärpät
KalPa  -  SaiPa
Lukko  -  Pelicans
Tappara  -  HIFK
TPS  -  Jokerit

A bit in a hurry today so just short about the picks.

TPS - Jokerit, TPS 2,70 local bookie

-TPS has had a couple of very difficult games but they'll get some more experienced defenders back tonight
-Jokerit was very poor agains Lukko on Thursday
-Odds too  high on TPS

Lukko - Pelicans, Pelicans 4,40 local bookie

-Pelicans plays a bit unstable but on a good day they can easily beat Lukko
-Odds too high here on pelicans, could take the handicap too, +0.5 at around 2,25

Friday, September 24, 2010

Results 24.9.2010

HPK - Tappara 2-4

Hokki - TuTo 8-3
Jokipojat - K-Laser 1-5
K-Vantaa - Sport 4-0
Jukurit - SaPKo 2-2 -- 3-2 after penalty shootout
D Team - KooKoo 3-2

0.22 units profit today when K-vantaa won but KooKoo lost 3-2 to D Team. KooKoo had a very bad day, 53 shots on goal 
and 2! goals while D Team only 20 shots on goal and 3 goals. K Vantaa won 4-0 against Sport and I'm starting to think
Sports 1st goalie M.Rossi is going to step aside and give the 2nd goalie a change in next games. Shots on goal 38-17 to Sport
and 0 goals, very dissapointing for Sport.

Six Sm-Liiga games and one Mestis game tomorrow and I think there's a couple of good betting games there too will resume to them tomorrow.

2/4 +0.07u ROI:1.75%

Games and picks 24.9.2010

HPK - Tappara

Hokki - TuTo
Jokipojat - K-Laser
K-Vantaa - Sport
Jukurit - SaPKo
D Team - KooKoo

D Team - KooKoo, KooKoo 1,85 Betsafe,Ladbrokes

-D Team has had a lot of changes in the line-up and several players who has played with D team the first games played with JYP yesterday
-KooKoo has a solid goalie
-KooKoo has started their season very good 3-0-0 with a goal difference of 12-3, very imressive

K Vantaa - Sport, K Vantaa 2,22 Expekt

-K Vantaa has the same loan players from sm-liiga teams as last tuesday
-Sport has some problems in scoring and in defence, last game against Sapko they managed to score however
-K Vantaa has been solid at home, 4-2 against Jukurit and 5-1 against Heki

Thursday, September 23, 2010

23.9.2010 Results

Jyp won as supposed but saipa lost. -0,15units today.

23.09. SM-Liiga
Blues - KalPa
Ilves - HIFK
Jokerit - Lukko
Kärpät - Pelicans
SaiPa - Ässät 1-4

Quite many underdogs won today; Ässät, Pelicans and Ilves. Tomorrow is an interesting mestis day and I'll post some thoughts tomorrow.

Stats 1W1L -0,15u

Games 23.9.2010, 2 picks

23.09. SM-Liiga
Blues - KalPa
Ilves - HIFK
Jokerit - Lukko
Kärpät - Pelicans
SaiPa - Ässät

Picks for today is Saipa and Jyp -1,5 

JYP - TPS, Jyp -1,5 1,85, Pinnacle

-TPS lost 0-7 to Blues on Tuesday
-TPS has a very bad situation with defenders and the defence-lineup doesn't change much from tuesday
-JYP has played solid 2-1-0 but hasn't scored much, I think today is their cahnge

Saipa - Ässät, Saipa 2,10 BWIN (~2.00@Pinnacle good too)

-Saipa playde quite well agains a strong HIFK on tuesday but lost in overtime
-Ässät started season very good 2-0-1
-Saipa had a harder season start agains Kärpät,Lukko and HIFK and a record of 1-1-1
-Today Saipa gets a bit easier opponent and I think Saipa will win at home

These are just my thoughts about the games and I'm not advicing anyone to play as I do. I usually play with a flat stake so I'll be posting the results as if I'm staking a flat stake on each game. Can't really say how many picks I'll post but I'll try to post as often as possible when there is someting to play in my opinnion. Will post results later tonight.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Results 22.9.2010


Tappara  - Lukko 6-2 (0-1, 3-1, 3-0)


K-Vantaa - HeKi 5-1 (1-0, 1-1, 3-0)

KooKoo - Hokki 4-0 (0-0. 1-0, 3-0)

Sport - SaPKo 5-2 (2-2, 1-0, 2-0)

D Team - LeKi 1-5  (0-3, 0-1, 1-1)

1 Sm-liiga and 4 Mestis games tonight

Tappara  - Lukko

K-Vantaa - HeKi
KooKoo - Hokki
Sport - SaPKo
D Team - LeKi